The fact that both national weather agencies https://smhi.se and https://yr.no predicted 0 mm precipitation in the morning and it is drizilling now clearly shows there is more work to be done. It was obvious from the cloud cover that there was a chance of a shower.
Maybe weather predictions should display confidence intervals too!
> As the trend goes on, the Amazon is speeding toward a tipping point, when large areas of the rainforest will no longer be able to produce enough rain to sustain itself, according to Carlos Nobre, one of Brazil's leading climate scientists and researcher at the University of Sao Paulo.
> Once that happens, the rainforest will begin to die, eventually turning into savannah, said Nobre.
You are a well-respected meteorologist and post your opinion... A response describes the opinion as overstated, misleading, and downright false. Your response: Since this is a low-level threat, you make a quick post stating that the response is appreciated but you disagree and include references (and perhaps a hot link) to supporting research for the opinion. The answer is rapid, brief, informative, friendly, and firm, & implies that the subject is closed, unless the individual reads ..
Social Media Ethics for the Meteorologist, Mulvey et al.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2020)
... avoid the three “A’s”—admonish, advise, or apologize—because these characteristics will only invite additional and perhaps harsher responses. If you are wrong, admit it, but do not apologize for expressing your well-thought-out post. Responses, if deemed necessary, should be well thought-out but rapid, brief, informative, friendly, and firm.
til when the sun burns through all the hydrogen at its core and exits the main sequence to become a red giant, the habitable zone will move out to (at one point) encompass only saturn, uranus, and neptune
How SUVs conquered the world and threaten to kill the climate
Last year, the International Energy Agency (#IEA) made a finding that stunned even its own researchers. #SUV's were the second-largest cause of the global rise in #carbon #emissions over the past decade, eclipsing shipping, aviation, heavy industry and even trucks, usually the only vehicles to loom larger than them on the road.
Our demands for climate action no longer need to be "realistic"
Every path that does not result in catastrophe now requires some sort of miracle
Maintaining our current system requires absolutely miraculous technological breakthroughs as well as a complete shift in politics
Every other plan from degrowth, to eco-socialism, to a spiritual awakening requires some other miracle
No one can tell us which miracle is the most likely
So please, do not use "realism" as an argument for or against a climate plan
There are simply no more solution that is "realistic", i.e. within the status-quo and rely on incremental developments
We have to move beyond "realism" to radicalism
The quagga was a subspecies of zebra that roamed freely in Southern Africa. Unfortunately, the Dutch settlement caused the demise of this lovely creature. The quagga was heavily hunted, and some specimens were taken to Europe for zoos, but breeding them had turned out to be unsuccessful. The last quagga died in 1883 in a zoo in Amsterdam. It was the first extinct animal to have its DNA analyzed, which revealed information about its close relatives.
Post #PhD I feel I am drawn to such discussions revisiting some of our basics and challenging the facts which we studied as axioms. I think I finally understand why the degree is named Doctor of Philosophy, as we are trained to apply the scientific method of logic to every problem around us.
#TIL about Aristotle's wheel paradox. Simple and mind-boggling at the same time.
#PaperOfTheDay: Five Lessons from COVID‑19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation
⭐ Delay is Costly, So Make Mitigation a Priority, Now
⭐ Find Ways to Get Citizens on Board
⭐ Inequality Can Lead to Worse Outcomes
⭐ Global Problems Necessitate (Global) Collaboration
⭐ Scientific Policy Advice is Never Value‑Free
It is an interesting read and a likely future for researchers working on natural sciences in the days to come.
Postdoc studying turbulence and atmospheric flows computationally. Research software developer. Avid open-source enthusiast. Ph.D in #FluidMechanics.
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